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Current Plan

Last reviewed: May 2026

This is our canonical, living strategy document. It summarises what we're doing right now — not what was discussed in any particular session.

FIRE Status

  • Liquid net worth: 5.5M NZD (excludes unvested RSUs)
  • Annual spend target: 200K NZD
  • Safe withdrawal rate: 4% → supports 220K/yr
  • Status: ✅ Financially independent today

Targets

Goal Amount Timeline Status
Retirement corpus 5M (supports 200K/yr at 4%) ✅ Met
University (2 children) 200K 2032–2038 🕒 On track
First homes (2 children) 2M 2041–2045 🕒 On track
Legacy (2 children) 8M 2050–2053 ⚠ Conditional
Grand total 15.2M

Drawdown Timeline (no further work, 9% growth, 200K/yr spend)

Year Projected NW Event Drawdown
2026 5.5M Stop working
2032 7.6M Henry uni starts -100K
2035 9.1M Pippa uni starts -100K
2041 12.8M Henry first home -1M
2045 16.2M Pippa first home -1M
2050 19.7M Henry legacy -4M (if >15M)
2053 20.8M Pippa legacy -4M (if >15M)

See Monte Carlo for stress-tested scenarios.

Current Allocation Strategy (Kernel)

Fund Target % Purpose Status
S&P 500 (Unhedged) 28% US large-cap growth ❌ Under (5%)
World ex-US 33% Global diversification ❌ Under (20%)
Global 100 13% Mega-cap quality ❌ Under (7%)
Emerging Markets 15% Growth upside ⚠ Over (21%)
Global Infrastructure 8% Defensive/income ⚠ Over (24%)
S&P Dividend Aristocrats 3% Income tilt ⚠ Over (18%)

Rebalance pending — see Action Items. Cash Plus eliminated — sell from most-overweight fund when tax payments due.

Key Policies

  • Tax structure: 100% PIE (28% tax rate, no provisional tax)
  • MSFT shares: Sell all vested, resume sell-on-vest, sell ESPP on purchase
  • Legacy gifts: Conditional on portfolio > 15M at time of gift
  • Rebalance cadence: Reviewed monthly, executed when drift > 5%
  • Unvested RSUs: Not counted as net worth (contingent on employment)

Pending Actions

See Action Items for the full list.

Decision History

Date Decision Rationale Source
May 2026 Stay 100% PIE 1.4% vs 1.95% tax; eliminates provisional tax Analysis
May 2026 Sell all MSFT Reduce single-stock concentration Analysis
May 2026 Rebalance Kernel Over-allocated to Infrastructure/EM Proposal
May 2026 Eliminate Cash Plus Sell from overweight fund when tax due; no drag
May 2026 Legacy gifts conditional Monte Carlo shows 22% ruin if unconditional Monte Carlo
May 2026 200K/yr retirement spend Julia's preference for flexibility

This page is updated each session. For the full rationale behind any decision, see the relevant session's Plans & Proposals.